GLOBAL WARMING AND CAGW
Good day everyone!
Well, we have had our first snow here last night! It is all melting away now but this morning it was beautiful. And cold. So the first thing I did was build a fire so now it’s so cozy and warm. But if I don’t put the logs in just right, it will become a blazing heat in this room! lol!
Speaking of a blazing heat, what is going on with global warming, if anything? There has been a lot of debates and even scare talk about global warming and mankind’s contribution to it. And if it is real, is life on earth in trouble? So what’s the truth?
CAGW stands for catastrophic anthropogenic global warming. In other words, global warming caused by humans. Many studies have been conducted since the late 1980’s. Scientist Larry Vardiman of the Institute for Creation Research-and someone I trust- did his own research analysis of three different datasets on the subject. He discovered that warming had probably occurred for at least the last 30 to 50 years. He also says, “…past warming is no indication that
such warming will necessarily continue. In fact, there has been an apparent pause in this warming trend for the last 18 years. Nor does a warming trend automatically prove that human activity is responsible.”1
|Courtesy of Institute for Creation Research|
Historical data also reveals that significant climate fluctuations that last for hundreds of years have indeed taken place in the past. As a matter of fact, “there have been twosignificant changes in climate within the last thousand years—the Medieval Warm Period (roughly 950—1250 A.D.) and the Little Ice Age (roughly 1300—1850 A.D.).”2 The dates of these significant climate changes indicate that they occurred before humans could have been the cause.
So what could be the cause of such climate changes? Three entities have influence on global climate; erupting volcanoes, the sun, and the ocean. A single erupting volcano can put out more atmospheric Co2 than all the carbon dioxide humans do worldwide. The sun can effect climate by affecting the number of cosmic rays (energetic protons) entering the atmosphere. The ocean can release CO2 in larger rates thus
Interestingly enough, secular scientists completely ignore this data. They even ignore the data that shows atmospheric CO2 parts per million (ppm) has been high in the past as well when humans would have had very little or no influence whatsoever. For example, today’s value is about 400 ppm. Something the secular scientists assume is an abnormal value. Data shows that atmospheric CO2 had high values around the years 1825, 1857, and 1942 with 1942’s value virtually the same as todays.
So where does all the fear come from? “Much of the alarmism surrounding this issue results from climate computer models that predict considerably highertemperatures in the coming decades as a result of increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide…However, in the past these climate models have consistently overestimated the amount of future warming…Clearly, there are major disagreements between different models about any significant global warming. But the data accumulated thus far seem to support the models (hypotheses) predicting global warming of no more than 0.5°C through 2050.
“It should also be remembered that carbon dioxide was part of God’s “very good” creation (Genesis 1:31). Plants “breathe” carbon dioxide, and there is evidence that increased atmospheric carbon dioxide is causing more plantsto grow, even in dry areas. There are also indications that the pre-Flood world may have had more atmospheric carbon dioxide than we do at present, and this increased CO2 may have contributed to a much more temperate pre-Flood climate. So even if CO2 is warming the planet today, Christians have no reason to panic over this issue.
“So many variables affect Earth’s climate that it’s difficult to see how a computer model can accurately predict future changes, especially given our present imperfect understanding. Earth’s atmosphere is subject to numerous intricate interactions, and we still don’t have a firm understanding of its overall long-term sensitivity. If we want a realistic assessment of climate change, we need to 1) do our homework and learn from history, 2) continue to study the data with great diligence, and 3) refrain from jumping to conclusions based on skewed climate models and short-sighted assumptions.
To be sure, God has appointed man to be custodian of His Earth. We should be good stewards of what He has given us, but we enter dangerous territory if we presume to be able to control and shape to our will what God has made. The law of unanticipated consequences inevitably intervenes.”3
Until next time, take care and God bless,